2016 election

Trump Didn’t Win because of Comey or Russia – He Won because of the Culture War

A newly conducted study has finally gathered a few facts that prove the real reasons behind Hillary Clinton’s recent loss.

Some of the reasons were self-evident, but others were more surprising and deep-seated.

In a report called Beyond Economics: Fears of Cultural Displacement Pushed the White Working Class to Trump the researchers explain that partisan politics played an important role in President Trump’s victory but so did economic fatalism, and feelings of cultural oppression.

Overall, the model demonstrates that besides partisanship, fears about immigrants and cultural displacement were more powerful factors than economic concerns in predicting support for Trump among white working-class voters. Moreover, the effects of economic concerns were complex—with economic fatalism predicting support for Trump, but economic hardship predicting support for Clinton.

  1. Identification with the Republican Party. Identifying as Republican, not surprisingly, was strongly predictive of Trump support. White working-class voters who identified as Republican were 11 times more likely to support Trump than those who did not identify as Republican. No other demographic attribute was significant.
  2. Fears about cultural displacement. White working-class voters who say they often feel like a stranger in their own land and who believe the U.S. needs protecting against foreign influence were 3.5 times more likely to favor Trump than those who did not share these concerns.
  3. Support for deporting immigrants living in the country illegally. White working-class voters who favored deporting immigrants living in the country illegally were 3.3 times more likely to express a preference for Trump than those who did not.
  4. Economic fatalism. White working-class voters who said that college education is a gamble were almost twice as likely to express a preference for Trump as those who said it was an important investment in the future.
  5. Economic hardship. Notably, while only marginally significant at conventional levels (P<0.1), being in fair or poor financial shape actually predicted support for Hillary Clinton among white working-class Americans, rather than support for Donald Trump. Those who reported being in fair or poor financial shape were 1.7 times more likely to support Clinton, compared to those who were in better financial shape.
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It is notable that many attitudes and attributes identified as possible explanations for Trump’s support among white working-class voters were not significant independent predictors…

Further, the study found that white-working class Americans have felt the heavy hand of cultural oppression from the Democrat Party, liberals, and the mainstream media.

Still, many factors remain correlated with support for Trump’s candidacy among white working-class voters.

  • White working-class voters who said discrimination against whites is a serious problem were much more likely to favor Trump than those who did not (74% vs. 40%, respectively).

  • Similarly, white working-class voters who expressed anxieties about cultural change—a composite variable that combined a belief that the U.S. needs to be protected from foreign influence and feelings of being “a stranger in my own country”—expressed a much stronger preference for Trump than those who did not (79% vs. 43%, respectively).

  • White working-class voters who advocated deporting immigrants living in the country illegally overwhelmingly favored Trump, while those who favored alternative policies expressed far less support (87% vs. 49%, respectively).

  • Roughly three-quarters (74%) of white working-class voters who say society punishes men “just for acting like men” supported Trump, compared to 48% of those who reject this statement.

Hopefully, the study will help to quell some of the liberal conspiracy theorizing that occurs has been popular in recent days, but I doubt that it will. The media and their friends in the Democrat Party seem to take perverse pleasure in  spouting of new and ever more insane lies about our President.

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