It is axiomatic that a “PhD” after your name is a license to steal almost as much as a “JD,” “MD” or “DD,” but where they get it in small bites, the Ph.D. takes a big grant, book advance or royalty checks or all three. Paul Erlich made millions on “Population Bomb,” but he is a piker compared to what the UN’s World Health Organization, WHO is looking for. They have said the world population would treble by 2060, be ten times what it is today in 2150, and it is America’s fault! For that we must pay!
2100 is the year on which present doomsayers are pivoting. That all living now will be gone may have something to do with it as they are eager to spend your money now.
The story began in 1825 when a young Belgian math and science teacher, Pierre Francois Verhulst, had difficulty maintaining protozoan cultures well enough to cover his teaching needs. Every culture he started reached a maximum and then went into decline regardless what he did. He was tracking them carefully with daily stirring the culture, taking a sample, counting the number in one drop, then computing the population in the flask. Young Verhulst was a careful records keeper and saw a pattern he reduced to an equation that has been re-affirmed for many species, including man.
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By some intelligence yet undiscovered, biological entities have a way of detecting and adjusting their populations to the environment and a definite term for every population. The same mechanism has been documented in battlefield logistics, marketing campaigns, traffic patterns or anything where living organisms are involved. In every case the activity rises and falls on a curve that can be determined and used for prediction. It is a rudimentary intelligence seen in the simplest, single-celled organisms, even plants! All species are apparently aware of limits in the environment and have a population trajectory.
You will never sell the idea of species inevitability to Ph.D.s eager to make names for themselves and get rich. They have long learned they can sell many more books saying man is guilty and must be regulated. Now, organizations like WHO, seek to embarrass America into giving billions of Dollars to poor countries. The people see very little, but the banks with anonymous number accounts get the money and make much more lending it locally while charging the depositors for their secrecy. How much of this they steal outright is another question as their clients not dare complain.
The reality is seen in a single, simple Excel system that is a decadal chart of the world population from 1960 to 2150, the period of the UN WHO studies.
In the second column of the study WHO has published what they expect the world population to be starting with three billion in 1960 ending with about 30 billion in 2150. It is alarming as there is no way we could feed so many people unless we do a lot more work on farming the seas than our political leaders are able to promote. They prefer “Man in Space!”
In the third column we have the progressions of the decades from 1960. The real data ends at the year 2000, but WHO continues on with a mathematical progression to 2050 AD, likely by “liner regression,” which is in question, but we will use their numbers as they are consistent with such data. They even include a little “wobble” that is the way of “Mother Nature.” She never walks in a smooth line.
In column four we have the changes, which are in decline after 1970, which is consistent with nature. The initial growth pattern turns to decline and we determine the average decline per decade is 0.028922 so from 2060 on we continue to factor in that decrement, but interestingly, WHO does not. Here we have a parting of the ways saying, “That decrement is critical to the function and to leave it out, as they did, is crime against statistics.”
In column five, we have projected world population figures based on the inclusion of the observed decrement and the result clearly says that world population peaked in 2010, or thereabouts, it will go into decline and ever be manageable in terms of food and water.
Do not expect to ever see a book, film or TV program declaring “There is no problem,” but that is what we are saying and soon will be forgotten for having shown it clearly, simply and in the context of the legacy left us by Pierre Francois Verhulst.