In a very interesting segment on MSNBC’s Morning Joe the gathered minds made something very clear, the Democrat Party is in trouble.
In a normal political situation, 2018 should prove to be a very good year for the Democrat Party. The only problem is that America in 2018 is anything but “normal.”
The Democrat Party has been decimated during the Obama era. Today, the GOP holds more concentrated power than it has at any time in the last 100 years.
While, midterms are usually a tough time for the party that leads the government, 2016 was really the year that the map favored the Democrat Party. In 2016, the majority of the Congressional seats in play belonged to the GOP and the Democrats stood poised to retake control of the Senate and there was even an outside chance that they might retake the House. However, 2016 ended up being a far better year for the GOP than anyone expected. The Republicans held on to a handful of seats they were expected to lose and they kept control of both the House and the Senate while also winning the White House.
2018 is a much tougher map for the Democrat Party as the vast majority of the seats up for election are currently held by the Democrats. There won’t be much chance for them to retake either chamber of Congress, but there will be a golden opportunity for the GOP to expand their majorities.
Even worse, for the Democrats, they have no “bench.” There are no readily available candidates ready to put up a fight for these seats. As Dan Balz explains, the Democrat Party has become a “bicoastal” party whose message simply does not resonate with middle America.
All of these issues are coming together at one time and what it means is that a historically weak Democrat Party is about to get… EVEN WEAKER. The national GOP is stronger today than it has been at any point since Reconstruction, and the 2018 election could actually make the Party even stronger. The question is, will this allow Republicans to finally get some work done? Even with majorities in the House and Senate and a Republican President in the White House, the GOP has had a hard time getting anything done in 2017. Hopefully, 2018 will be better.
Watch below as the folks at MSNBC explain why the Democrats are in such big trouble.
Dan Balz: Well, the national Democratic Party, as you know, is defined as a bicoastal party and not as a national party. It’s strong on the coasts and the leadership tends to come from the coasts and the message comes from the coasts.
That doesn’t play as well through many of the states up for grabs in 2017, 2018 — 2018 in particular. So there’s the absence of a kind of a message that resonates in some of these states.
I think also the fact is there’s no bench in a lot of these states for the Democrats.
They’ve been wiped out in the state legislatures, they’ve been wiped out in many statewide races and so they struggle to find an attractive candidate they can put up in a statewide race like the governor’s race.
And so one thing plays on the other and over the last 8 years it has been a wipeout and you know partly that’s been because there have been two terrible midterm elections in 2010 and 2014 and most of the gubernatorial races are in the midterm years.
You know, if you look back eight years ago, the Democrats actually had a majority of the governorships, but under President Obama, they got wiped out, and the absence of a bench makes it all the more difficult to find the right candidate who can win in those states.
Joe Scarborough: There were two just massive Republican years: 76 house seats lost, 13 senate seats, as we’ve been saying, Steve Radner. also, the governorships are at an all-time low, tied with 1922. Dan is exactly right. Their bench has been absolutely decimated.
The entire video is well worth your time, but the pertinent part begins at about 5 minutes into the video: