Unemployment and job creation numbers during an election year often reflect the political temperature of the American people. When favorable candidates appear to be leading in the polls, it can sometimes be reflected by increases in job creation and decreases in unemployment. When less favorable candidates take the lead in polls, those figures can turn in the opposite direction.
To begin with, many job experts say that it takes at least 200,000 new jobs per month to maintain an average or acceptable economic indicator. Last January, only 167,000 net job increases were seen. That dropped to a horrible low of only 43,000 in May when more Republican candidates began dropping out of the race. Most polls being reported indicated that Hillary Clinton had a good chance of defeating whoever the GOP candidate would be.
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In June, the net job increase jumped to 297,000, the highest in over 2 years, when it became apparent that Donald Trump was the GOP front runner and some polls began to indicate that he had a chance of defeating Hillary Clinton. Trump’s promises of spurring the economy and creating jobs prompted a real change that was reflected in the job growth area.
In October, just before the election, most of the liberal media were reporting liberal polls that showed Hillary Clinton as the probable winner of the White House. Her economic and job policies looked more dismal than Obama’s and the job market reflected it with only 127,000 new jobs created.
In November, Donald Trump won the election, but many were still pessimistic on what he would really do and even though there was an increase in new jobs of 164,000, it wasn’t enough to assure many in the business world.
The figures for January 2017 have just been released, showing that there was a net increase of 227,000 jobs as the business world begins to respond to Trump’s presidency. Initially, Wall Street experts were expecting a net gain of only 175,000 jobs for the first month in January.
Fox Business reported:
“U.S. employers added more workers to their payrolls than expected in January as hiring picked up in retail and construction-related industries, though wage growth remained soft. The figures give President Donald Trump’s administration a higher jumping-off point for its plan to stoke further economic growth, while at the same time giving the Federal Reserve more breathing room when it comes to raising rates.”
Sameer Samana, Global Quantitative Strategist for Wells Fargo Investment Institute, commented on the report:
“It was a solid report. We saw strength in the non-farm and private-sector side. Manufacturing payrolls have also been positive the last couple of months, so it’s not just non-manufacturing employment that’s improving.”
“More and more we’re seeing people come back into the labor market…the underemployment rate has been coming down, this time it ticked up. That could easily be due to the greater participation rate, much like the regular unemployment rate, but it’s something to watch.”
The January job figures are encouraging, but it will take more months of job growth to quiet some of Trump’s opponents. If Trump can deliver on his promises and put millions more Americans to work, helping them provide for their families, it will further silence many critics.
It’s time for Trump to put up or shut up. Hopefully, he’ll put up as promised.