In hopes of ending their losing streak, the establishment has Merkel running for a fourth term in Germany.
News of Merkel running for a fourth term as Chancellor of Germany reminds me of pundits in 2015 confidently telling us that Jeb Bush would be our next President.
According to AFP,
German Chancellor Angela Merkel told her party Sunday she will seek re-election next year, a move likely to be welcomed in many capitals as a sign of stability following poll triumphs for Brexit and Donald Trump.
This was their lead paragraph. Notice that the leading reason given for wanting Angela Merkel as Chancellor is the approval of foreign oligarchies. That’s all that “welcomed in many capitals” can mean. But what about the Germans who get to decide whether to vote for Merkel?
Also, viewing Merkel as a counterbalance to Brexit is problematic since she and her policies are the reason that the Brexit won the vote.
Merkel told the meeting she had struggled to make up her mind, the sources said, but concluded that Germany needed a strong CDU, which has no clear successor to the woman who has led the party since 2000.
She added that next year’s campaign would “not be a cakewalk”.
Merkel represents “stability and reliability in turbulent times because she holds society together and stands up to over-simplification” by populists, CDU deputy leader Julia Kloeckner told Welt am Sonntag newspaper earlier Sunday.
“She stands for moderation and centrism instead of cheap headlines.”
But have the German voters found that her reign was marked by “stability and reliability”? Or do they think she is largely responsible for the “turbulent times”? Someone is reading those “cheap headlines.” They seem awfully confident that voters are going to see Merkel as the savior from the turbulence and not the cause.
It gets more and more difficult to even believe that the establishment is that powerful and persuasive. This story seems more indicative of the group entangled in wishful thinking. They are trotting out the same clichéd statements used against Donald Trump. The sneer about “cheap headlines” reminds me of the current media hoax about “fake news.” No one buys it.
If Merkel admits that the race will not be easy, then obviously, she is worried that a majority of voters are not buying the narrative.
The story states that Merkel is losing support because of the migrant crisis that she inflicted on her country. Yet the article argues that the vote for Brexit and Donald Trump will scare the voters back to Merkel.
Nevertheless, observers said the recent seismic shifts in global politics were likely to drive traditionally risk-averse German voters back into her arms.
“Society’s need for predictability and stability could become so overpowering in the 2017 election year that even the creeping erosion of Merkel’s chancellorship won’t compromise her success at the polls in the end,” left-leaning news weekly Die Zeit said.
How did unleashing a crime spree on the German people demonstrate Merkel’s capacity to meet the need “for predictability and stability”? That would mean that the German’s trust her to solve that and other problems that she is responsible for.
The establishment can spin it all they want, but they have Merkel running as the guardian of the status quo and this looks like a change election for Germany.