Hillary Clinton must be wondering where she took a wrong turn.
Just last week, Clinton appeared to be sailing to the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination and a 13-point lead over GOP presumptive nominee Donald Trump.
But then rival Sen. Bernie Sanders bagged an upset primary win in West Virginia as Trump surged now that his competitors have all dropped out.
Now, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released Wednesday, Clinton is running virtually neck and neck against Trump among likely voters.
Even worse, Sanders’ West Virginia win puts Hillary in a position where she needs the commitment of her party’s so-called SuperDelegates in order to clinch the nomination.
The way the Democratic Party works, it has two classes of delegates that will vote at the party’s convention to pick the presidential nominee.
The committed delegates vote for a particular candidate and are allocated according to who wins in the various primaries and caucuses.
The real fun begins when the SuperDelegates enter the picture. A SuperDelegate can pledge to support a particular candidate, but is allowed under party rules to switch his vote at any time, and since the SuperDelegates are around 15 percent of the delegate total, they have the potential to sway the nomination from one candidate to another on just a moment’s notice.
In fact, Hillary has had experience with just that practice, as back in 2008, while many SuperDelegates had promised to support her, a flood of them voted for Barack Obama instead, throwing the nomination to him.
As it stands, Clinton appears to have 1,717 pledged delegates to Sanders’ 1,437.
Clinton has won the support of 503 out of 714 SuperDelegates, for a theoretical total of 2,220 delegate votes, out of 2,383 needed to win. In order to win with just pledged delegates, Clinton would need to win 666 out of the 737 available in the remaining primaries, which seems improbable considering Sanders’ historic performance thus far.
So, without the commitment of at least some of the SuperDelegates, Clinton can’t straight up win the nomination at this point.
This could be a problem as Sanders is coming on with renewed vigor, and the party’s illuminati have expressed more skepticism about Clinton, especially in light of the ongoing investigation by the FBI, which has publicly rebutted the Clinton camp’s efforts to make it appear as if the probe is a mere formality of no concern.
If Clinton has many more days like this, she’ll be lucky to be nominated for dog catcher.