trump-women-problem

Trump Women Problem? Maybe It Was Never Real

Suddenly the Trump women problem seems to have vanished in the polls.

People have been talking about the Trump women problem for a long time. It was his besetting weakness according to the media.

And then, in the last week of the campaign, the polls change so much that one even claims that the Trump women problem has “disappeared.”

From Investor’s Business Daily:

As of Tuesday, 39% of women said they’re backing Trump, compared with 34% who supported Trump in Saturday’s tracking poll.

And as result, the thrice-married, acid-tongued Trump is doing just as well among women as squeaky-clean Mitt Romney was doing at this point in the Oct. 28, 2012, IBD/TIPP tracking poll, when Romney also got 39% of the female vote. (Hurricane Sandy interrupted daily updates to the tracking poll after that date.)

In fact, Donald Trump is doing better with some women than others.

While Trump is polling worse than Romney among married women — 46% vs 51% — he’s doing better among single women — 28% to Romney’s 23%.

I think this is especially interesting because single women might average younger than married women. Sadly, the article does not tell us anything directly about younger versus older respondents.

They do tell us that Trump is attracting as large a section of Republicans as Romney did. The Never Trump movement is failing. He’s also doing as well, even slightly better, with independents.

So, what happened to the Trump women problem?

My theory that the polls are simply lying less possibly applies to this issue.

But maybe there really has been a shift. Perhaps, given time, women have rethought how much their dislike of Donald Trump matters to what they want in the next President. Women may have decided they care more about the future of the Supreme Court and killing Obamacare than lewd, disgusting comments from 2005.

And Karl Rove, in the interview below (which is surprisingly good), points out that partisans have a tendency to “return home” as the election draws near.

He was speaking of Republicans and the Never Trump failure. His observation would apply to Republican women.

I should note that the poll shows Hillary still with a slight lead. We’ll have to find out how that’s going to translate into votes. Who is more likely to show up and vote? Women who just want the first women President no matter how corrupt and criminal she is? Or women who want to be freed from Obamacare, supporting needless wars, and the future of the Supreme Court?

There’s no question that the zealots for baby killing will show up to vote for Hillary. They are her base. But is the fact that Hillary Clinton is female going to be enough to draw enough other women, or anyone else to the polls? It is one thing to answer a question about preferences. It is another thing to actually go to the trouble of casting a ballot.

Meanwhile, Hillary is still harping on the Trump women problem, but even the media seems unimpressed. Consider this lead paragraph from CNN:

Hillary Clinton’s campaign is looking to change the subject after days of news about a renewed FBI review into emails associated with her private server by launching a concerted attack against Donald Trump’s treatment of women.

Clinton, speaking at a rally here on Tuesday, called Trump a bully and accused him of “assaulting” women, opening up a last-ditch effort to put the spotlight on Trump, not her.

Doesn’t sound like it is working.

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Joe Scudder

Joe Scudder is the "nom de plume" (or "nom de guerre") of a fifty-ish-year-old writer and stroke survivor. He lives in St Louis with his wife and still-at-home children. He has been a freelance writer and occasional political activist since the early nineties. He describes his politics as Tolkienesque.

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