How can people who were so wrong on Trump be trusted to tell us who will win the general election?
Here’s Howard Kurtz talking about how the media was wrong on Trump yet that same media assures us that he can’t win the White House.
The Salon article that Kurtz refers to is quite interesting. For example:
The smart numbers crunchers like Five Thirty Eight’s Nate Silver and the New York Times’ Nate Cohn dismissed Trump as a flash in the pan, with Silver writing that “our emphatic prediction is simply that Trump will not win the nomination” and Cohn predicting that Trump’s subsequent comments about John McCain not being the kind of war hero Trump preferred was “the moment Trump’s campaign went from boom to bust.” Perhaps most famously, The Huffington Post covered Trump in its entertainment section rather than its political section as a way of making a statement both about the media’s obsession with Trump and about Trump himself. In the end, They unceremoniously moved their Trump coverage back to its rightful place some time ago and both Silver and Cohn issued their mea culpas yesterday. And they were hardly alone.
Plenty of others made the same prediction. It was conventional wisdom at the time and for some good reasons, perhaps the most important being that the 2012 GOP primary race had featured an epic assortment of weirdos and misfits, some of whom, including Michele Bachmann and Herman Cain, were number one in the polls for a time. Right wing religious extremist Rick Santorum was the runner up in that race, after all. Conventional wisdom held that presidential primaries tend to have a bit of a freakshow quality in the beginning that usually peters out as people begin to pay more attention.
While the Left-wing Salon despises Trump, Kurtz points out that the National Review also treats him with contempt. They can’t seem to see the difference between a primary (when you have a preference among Republican candidates) and a general election when there are only two real possibilities regarding who will become President.
Hopefully, voters are smarter than the writers of the National Review.