Ted Cruz

GAMECHANGER: All Eyes on Wisconsin After New Poll Puts Cruz in Massive Lead

We’ve headed into new territory. Looking back several months from now, I believe we will view this week–ending with the Wisconsin vote on Tuesday–as the turning point at which this election became Cruz’s to lose.

The polls in the state of Wisconsin have been trending Ted Cruz ‘s way, with the latest Marquette Law School poll putting his support at 40 percent. Trump comes in at 30 percent, and Kasich at 21 percent. This is a stark reversal from just a month ago:

The fact that Trump’s number has held steady, while Cruz has rocketed by 21 percentage points shows a consolidation around a definitive Trump alternative. There are those who are indeed moving to John Kasich, but they are much fewer. Additionally, Kasich is the weaker candidate in terms of conservative backing, cash on hand, and ground game.

Moreover, Cruz is gaining in key Trump areas:

All eyes are on Wisconsin–and for good reason. It’s a winner-take-all state with 42 delegates, and one that should favor Trump, given past trends.

61 percent of Wisconsinites are “blue collar” workers, who have been Trump’s bread and butter, yet this latest poll has Cruz crushing Trump by ten points.

The poll was completed prior to Governor Scott Walker’s endorsement of Ted Cruz . Marquette reports that among Republican primary voters in Wisconsin, 77 percent hold a favorable view of Walker. His endorsement will likely boost Cruz even further in the state.

Following a victory in Wisconsin–especially if it’s by a significant margin–Cruz will have extraordinary momentum going into the final primaries. It’s unlikely that Cruz will reach the 1,237 delegates needed to secure the nomination, but with the enthusiasm generated by a Wisconsin win, he has a strong chance to accumulate enough delegates to pose a serious convention challenge to Trump.

Lastly, Red State reports that John Kasich (likely due to financial concerns) is pulling ads from various radio markets in Wisconsin. This could be a sign that the Kasich campaign is in dire straights, and nearly ready to call it quits. If Kasich comes out of Wisconsin the big loser, that may be the final blow to his fantasy campaign.

As the establishment elites begin to line up behind the man they despise (for their own reasons), Kasich’s cash reserves will continue to dry up, and he’ll be forced to exit the race. Once Kasich bows out, a majority of his followers will likely move to the only Trump alternative left, Ted Cruz

Tuesday, April 5th is the moment to watch. All eyes are in Wisconsin. If Cruz takes the state, we have a new race on our hands.

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Frank Camp

Frank Camp breathes politics--that, and regular air. After the 2004 election ignited a passion for politics in Frank, he's been dedicated to understanding what makes people think the way they do. His goal at Constitution.com is to arm his fellow conservatives with the tools they need to fight the liberal army in an effective and persuasive manner.

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