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This Is Why a Donald Trump Landslide Is Possible

A Donald Trump landslide may not happen, but the way MSNBC “adjusts” CNN’s poll shows why we can’t rule it out.

As I reported the other day, CNN conducted a poll in which Donald Trump had the lead.

MSNBC didn’t like that so they suggested a fix:

So if the same kind of people come to the polls in 2016 as did in 2012 then Hillary Clinton comes out ahead.

But is that a plausible scenario?

Based on Donald Trump’s historic record in receiving votes in the primary, I don’t think so. Meanwhile, Democrat turnout during the primary was low.

Remember what American Vision writer Joel McDurmon wrote about Cruz and Trump in Indiana:

Consider these numbers: accord to the New York Times’s count, Ted Cruz drew 404,327 votes in this Indiana primary. What you may not realize it that that’s almost more than Romney drew (410,635) as the hand’s-down winner in 2012. It’s 84,000 (or 26%) more than McCain won Indiana with in 2008. In fact, Cruz had more votes in Indiana than any previous winner of that primary except for the almost statistically-irrelevant difference with Romney.

Now, this kind of gives Cruz his due, whatever that may be. In any normal Republican primary, these numbers would clearly have made him the frontrunner and winner in Indiana—in all other cases, by a landslide. But there’s the point. This is not a normal primary. These tremendous numbers in favor of Cruz in reality only serve as a back-drop for the even more impressive public appeal of Donald Trump.

Why? Because on top of the normally-sweeping performance of Ted Cruz’s impressive 404k votes, Donald Trump drew a whopping 587,706.

Does that sound like results that will lead to the same turnout as 2012?

The fact is, CNN probably already did everything possible to pump up Hillary’s numbers. MSNBC just wasn’t satisfied and is encouraging more delusions.

Note: I don’t know if Trump will even win, let alone get a landslide. But don’t let polling discourage you. Pollsters are always guided by assumptions based on the past. Those assumptions may be worthless.

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Joe Scudder

Joe Scudder is the "nom de plume" (or "nom de guerre") of a fifty-ish-year-old writer and stroke survivor. He lives in St Louis with his wife and still-at-home children. He has been a freelance writer and occasional political activist since the early nineties. He describes his politics as Tolkienesque.

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