In a new Quinnipiac University poll, the two presumptive nominees are in a statistical tie. Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump 42% to 40%.
The Quinnipiac University poll surveyed 1,610 likely voters from June 21st through the 27th, with a margin of error of ± 2.4%.
Even with third party candidates included in the poll, Clinton still only leads Trump by 2 percentage points, 39% to 37%. Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson polls at 8%, and Green Party nominee Jill Stein polls at 4%.
This Quinnipiac University poll differs from other recent polls which have Hillary Clinton ahead of Donald Trump by several percentage points.
Last month, an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll was released showing Clinton besting her Republican rival by three points, 46% to 43%.
In a Washington Post/ABC News poll conducted from June 20th through the 23rd, Clinton had a double-digit lead. She led Trump 51% to 39%. The Washington Post headline said that support for Trump had “plunged.”
But this Quinnipiac University poll seems to have reversed that trend slightly in Trump’s favor. It’s entirely possible that the UK’s declaration of independence from the EU is having an impact on the presidential race here.
[Read Related Article: What the UK’s Exit from the EU Means for Trump]
The percentage gap between Clinton and Trump may continue to narrow as more of Hillary Clinton’s emails are leaked, even some she deleted:
Judicial Watch today released 165 pages of new State Department records that include a previously unreleased March 22, 2009, email of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton revealing that she was concerned about how her records were being handled and had “no idea how my papers are treated at State. Who manages both my personal and official files?” Clinton top aide Huma Abedin responds: “We’ve discussed this” and promises to explain it again. This is the fifth set of records produced to Judicial Watch by the State Department (from the non-“state.gov” email accounts of Huma Abedin) that contain Hillary Clinton emails that were not produced by the State Department as part of the 55,000 pages of emails that Hillary Clinton turned over to the State Department.
It remains to be seen whether Hillary Clinton’s email controversy and FBI investigation will have any effect on her support come this November.